University of Cambridge – Written evidence (OMC0064)
Submitted by: Professor Campbell Middleton* and Dr Eirini Konstantinou**
The authors are the Director* and a Research Associate** at the Laing O’Rourke Centre for Construction Engineering and Technology in the Department of Engineering at the University of Cambridge. The mission of the centre is to transform the construction sector, in partnership with industry and government, by delivering disruptive change through education, innovation, research and policy leadership.
Definition:
Off-site manufacture is the production of non-volumetric components, such as pre-cast concrete walls, beams, flooring or volumetric (modules), such as bathrooms, kitchen pods etc. in a factory and their transport and erection into their final position onsite.
1.1 Off-site manufacture offers the opportunity to employ an efficient production line and well-organized working environment. This leads to a) predictability of the daily output[1], b) improved quality of the end product through standardised processes[2], c) up to 70% reduction of material waste compared to conventional construction[3], d) improved working conditions as employees are protected from harsh weather[4], and e) sustainability (e.g. precast concrete manufacturing in the UK has reduced carbon emissions by 26%, mains water consumption by 31%, and waste to landfill by 95% over the period 2008 to 2016)[5].
1.2 The main drawbacks of off-site manufacture for construction are associated with: a) the transportation challenges of off-site manufactured “products”; mainly due to the size and weight of the prefabricated “products” and the potential shortage of space for trucks to manoeuvre onsite[6], b) difficulty achieving economies of scale due to the customized nature of construction projects in terms of size, shape etc.[7], and c) difficulty in making changes to designs at any stage of the construction project due to restrictions of factories’ production lines[8].
1.3 The main factors influencing clients to choose off-site manufacture[9] include the potential to achieve significant reductions in programme time and improved quality of the end product[10] (e.g. Travelodge chose modular construction for a new hotel in London that resulted in faster completion time leading to an increase in revenue of £179,000[11]). Contractors are influenced by the opportunity for increased cash flow and turnover through self-production of the off-site “products”[12]. Architects and design engineers are likely to be influenced by the opportunity to improve the quality and performance of their designs by the use of standardized and detailed off-site “products”. This should reduce the number of design errors which are a major cause of rework in construction and can add up to around 5% of the total construction costs[13].
2.1 One of the objectives of offsite manufacture is to reduce total construction cost (capex) (in particular due to improved certainty of delivery and reduced programme times) however there is surprisingly limited data and evidence to verify this. A comparison of the total cost of eight case studies undertaken in the UK, Spain, Canada and USA and covering a wide range of project types such as housing, education, health care, retail, and industrial facilities, concluded that modular construction achieves on average a 16% cost reduction compared to conventional construction (Figure 1)[14]. Seven out of these eight case studies were also compared in terms of programme time and it was found that this is reduced on average by 39%, with a maximum reduction of 60% down to a minimum of 25%, when compared to conventional construction (Figure 2)[15]. The main reason for this programme time reduction is that off-site manufacture allows several tasks to progress in-parallel (e.g. whilst the foundation is being constructed in-situ, the superstructure can be prepared off-site).
2.2 Off-site manufacture can increase productivity as labour costs may be reduced due to improved efficiencies in a factory setting as many of the detrimental factors reducing productivity on conventional sites are removed. A survey carried out in the USA, evaluated the impact on labour productivity of 83 factors and concluded that the main causes of low productivity are related to mismanagement (e.g. availability, quality, and lack of construction equipment, materials, tools and consumables)[16]. A survey in Hong Kong found that overcrowded sites and rework can reduce labour productivity by 5.1 to 13.6 man-hours per week per person[17]. At present there are no cost effective or automated methods for monitoring productivity and the development of such methods, for example using computer vision techniques, offers a significant opportunity for the industry[18]. Reducing labour costs is crucial for the improvement of construction. Note that labour productivity in construction globally has grown by just one percent per year over the past two decades[19].
2.3 Health and safety of construction workers is improved with off-site manufacture. A report on sustainability published by Buildoffsite[20] shows that the UK manufacturing sector has 29% less major injuries and 52% less fatalities when compared to the UK construction sector. This conclusion is based on data provided by the Health and Safety Executive
(HSE)[21] (see Figure 3).
2.4 The potential for reduction of programme time and labour cost also applies to housing. In particular, the better quality of product implies that less maintenance will be required. A study by McKinsey reports that housing projects can be built by up to 30% less if off-site manufacture is chosen[22].
a) 68% percent of the respondents identified the large capital cost required to build a facility for offsite manufacture as the primary barrier to adoption (e.g. the investment required for a factory in the US to build 12,500 houses per year is $30 million (≈ £21.6M)[24],
b) 43% argued that it is difficult to achieve economies of scale with off-site manufacture because there is a lack of design standardization and lack of available product range,
c) 29% identified the difficulty involved in changing designs as a barrier, and
d) 29% of the respondents converged to the conclusion that the complex interfacing between building systems i.e. in-situ production/prefabrication, is also an important barrier.
[1] http://ciria.org/buildoffsite/downloads/off-site_production_june09.pdf
[2] http://ciria.org/buildoffsite/downloads/off-site_production_june09.pdf
[3] http://ciria.org/buildoffsite/downloads/off-site_production_june09.pdf
[4] http://ciria.org/buildoffsite/downloads/off-site_production_june09.pdf
[5] https://www.britishprecast.org/Publications/Sustainability-Matters-2017.aspx
[6] http://ciria.org/buildoffsite/downloads/off-site_production_june09.pdf
[7] http://www.arcom.ac.uk/-docs/proceedings/ar2011-0105-0114_Pan_Arif.pdf
[8] https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190601071821
[9] https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190500184444
[10] https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190500184444
[11] http://www.designforhomes.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/ModularSteel.pdf
[12] http://www.arcom.ac.uk/-docs/proceedings/ar2013-0667-0677_Vernikos_Nelson_Goodier_Robery.pdf
[13] https://ascelibrary.org/doi/abs/10.1061/%28ASCE%290733-9364%282009%29135%3A3%28187%29
[14] http://www.modular.org/HtmlPage.aspx?name=foundation_offsite_PMC_report
[15] http://www.modular.org/HtmlPage.aspx?name=foundation_offsite_PMC_report
[16] https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9364(2009)135:5(397)
[17] https://doi.org/10.1016/S0263-7863(03)00061-9
[18] https://doi.org/10.17863/CAM.20613
[19] https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Industries/Capital%20Projects%20and%20Infrastructure/Our%20Insights/Reinventing%20construction%20through%20a%20productivity%20revolution/MGI-Reinventing-construction-A-route-to-higher-productivity-Full-report.ashx
[20] https://www.buildoffsite.com/content/uploads/2013/01/Sustainability-Characteristics.pdf
[21] http://www.hse.gov.uk/statistics/tables/
[22] https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Global%20Themes/Urbanization/Tackling%20the%20worlds%20affordable%20housing%20challenge/MGI_Affordable_housing_Executive%20summary_October%202014.ashx
[23] https://doi.org/10.1080/01446190600827058
[24] https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Global%20Themes/Urbanization/Tackling%20the%20worlds%20affordable%20housing%20challenge/MGI_Affordable_housing_Executive%20summary_October%202014.ashx
[25] http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/pls/portallive/docs/1/40873.PDF
[26] http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/pls/portallive/docs/1/40873.PDF
[27] http://www.laingorourke.com/~/media/lor/files/lor-engineering-excellence-journal-2013.pdf
[28] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/664572/industrial-strategy-white-paper-print-ready-version.pdf
[29] https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/560247/Balanced_Scorecard_paper.pdf