Written evidence submitted by Age UK (CVB0030)
Data collection and population
Estimating BAME populations can be challenging as annual population estimates produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) do not include ethnicity. Consequently, the Census 2011 is the most recent and reliable data source.[1] What we know from the Census 2011 is that the proportion of people from BAME communities has increased from 8% in 2001 to 14% of the total population in 2011, which means that the numbers of older people from ethnically diverse communities is increasing.[2]
The Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre’s (ICNARC) analysis of people admitted to critical care in the UK with Covid-19 shows ethnic inequalities in health outcomes: 34% of those admitted to critical care were from BAME communities, substantially higher than the 22% which would have been expected if BAME and white people were at similar risk.[5] The ICNARC found that 39.3% of white people admitted died in critical care compared to 45.1% of Asian people and 42.4% of black people.[6] This analysis doesn’t take into account other differences between the patients, but the study shows that BAME people admitted to critical care with Covid-19 had fewer risk factors than white people admitted: BAME patients were younger, less likely to be obese and less likely to have most comorbidities.
There are many reasons that contribute to these differences, which several organisations in the UK have and continue to investigate. However, these reasons can broadly be grouped into two types: risk of exposure to the virus, and risk of poor outcomes once exposure has taken place. This paper will aim to summarise the key points for older people.
Risk of greater exposure to COVID-19
A person’s risk of severe illness and mortality from COVID-19 is shaped by a number of factors (including age and pre-existing comorbidities) which will be discussed below. However, the risk of severe illness and death can be cut if the risk of exposure to the virus is reduced or eliminated.
Older people from BAME communities are at increased risk of acquiring COVID-19 because they are more likely to live in densely populated and urban areas, in overcrowded households, and have jobs, or live with people that have frontline jobs, that expose them to higher risk.[7]
We know that larger cities have been hit harder by COVID-19 than other areas and that higher proportions of people from BAME communities live in cities that are more densely populated.[8] Older people from BAME communities are more likely to be residing in overcrowded and multigenerational households.[9] For example, older Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi and Black African people live in larger households for longer than other White ethnic groups, either because they choose to live with extended families or because the cost of housing leads people to live with extended family.[10] There is evidence to suggest that infection rates are lower in one- and two-person households than in larger households.[11]
People from BAME communities are also more likely to live in the private rented sector and to experience higher levels of housing deprivation: lower rates of home ownership for BAME groups aged 50-64 compared to those aged 65 and over suggest that levels of housing deprivation increase as people get older.[12]
Care home residents
It is therefore not possible to get a full picture of the true ethnic inequalities in risk of death from COVID-19 for care home residents. The true effect may be larger than that estimated by the CQC.
Risk of poor outcomes for older BAME communities
There is also a body of academic research that indicates that because of social and economic inequalities, people from BAME communities are more likely to experience those underlying health conditions including asthma, diabetes, and coronary heart disease that are linked to increased risk of COVID-19.[17] For example, in 2019, 62% of adults (people aged 18 and over) in England were overweight or obese; 74% of Black adults were overweight or obese, the highest percentage out of all ethnic groups.[18]
July 2020
References
[1] ONS. (2011). 2011 Census - Office for National Statistics. Retrieved February 5, 2019, from https://www.ons.gov.uk/census/2011census
[2] Evandrou, M., Falkingham, J., Feng, Z., & Vlachantoni, A. (2016). Ethnic inequalities in limiting health and self-reported health in later life revisited. Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 70(7), 653–662. https://doi.org/10.1136/jech-2015-206074
[3] Office for National Statistics, Coronavirus (COVID-19) related deaths by ethnic group, England and Wales: 2 March 2020 to 15 May 2020, 19 June 2020.
[4] Office for National Statistics, Coronavirus (COVID-19) related deaths by ethnic group, England and Wales: 2 March 2020 to 15 May 2020, 19 June 2020.
[5] Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre, ICNARC report on COVID-19 in critical care 03 July 2020, Table 3.
[6] Intensive Care National Audit and Research Centre, ICNARC report on COVID-19 in critical care 03 July 2020, Table 11.
[7]Public Health England, Disparities in the risk and outcomes of COVID-19, June 2020, p40.
[8]GOV.UK, Regional ethnic diversity, July 2019.
[9] From 2014 to 2017, around 679,000 (3%) of the estimated 23 million households in England were overcrowded and around 2% of White British households experienced overcrowding, compared with 30% of Bangladeshi households (the highest percentage), https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/housing/housing-conditions/overcrowded-households/latest#by-ethnicity-and-age-group
[10]De Noronha, N. (2019), Housing and the older ethnic minority population in England, Race Equality Foundation, p.18.
[11]Office for National Statistics, Coronavirus (COVID-19) infections in the community in England: July 2020
[12]De Noronha, N. (2019), Housing and the older ethnic minority population in England, Race Equality Foundation, p.18.
[13] Nazroo, J. & Becares, L. (2020), Evidence for ethnic inequalities in mortality related to COVID-19 infections: Findings from an ecological analysis of England and Wales, p. 6; Office for National Statistics, Which occupations have the highest potential exposure to the coronavirus (COVID-19)?, 11 May 2020.
[14]Office for National Statistics, Deaths involving COVID-19 in the care sector, England and Wales: deaths occurring up to 12 June 2020 and registered up to 20 June 2020 (provisional), 3 July 2020.
[15] Care Quality Commission, CQC publishes data on deaths in care settings broken down by ethnicity, 17 June 2020.
[16] Care Quality Commission, CQC publishes data on deaths in care settings broken down by ethnicity, 17 June 2020.
[17] Nazroo, J. & Becares, L. (2020), Evidence for ethnic inequalities in mortality related to COVID-19 infections: Findings from an ecological analysis of England and Wales, p. 6
[18] Gov.UK, https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/health/diet-and-exercise/overweight-adults/latest, 19 May 2020
[19] Evandrou, M., Falkingham, J., Feng, Z. & Vlachantoni, A. (2016) ‘Ethnic inequalities in limiting health and self-reported health in later life revisited’, Journal of epidemiology and community health 70(7), p.661