Written evidence from the Welfare Conditionality Research Project
1 Background
1.1 Our five-year (2013-2018) project Welfare conditionality: sanctions support and behaviour change, is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council. It involves researchers from six universities, and is exploring the ethics and effectiveness of welfare conditionality, including sanctions and support in the benefits system.
1.2 Our first wave findings were published in 2016. Final research findings will be available in 2018.
1.3 This submission was prepared by Professor Peter Dwyer & Dr Janis Bright, University of York, and Dr Sharon Wright & Dr Alasdair B R Stewart, University of Glasgow, on behalf of the Welfare Conditionality Project.
2 The issues raised in the NAO report
2.1 As the NAO report notes (1.12), there has been a substantial increase in the scope, severity and length in the use of JSA sanctions over time, and particularly since the 2012 Welfare Reform Act. There has also been an increase in both the number and rate of ESA claimants who are sanctioned. Evidence from our first wave research findings suggests that those with specific vulnerabilities and complex needs, such as homeless people, lone parents and disabled people, have been disproportionately affected by intensifying welfare conditionality.
2.2 Conditionality is currently embedded in a broad range of policy arenas and its use has been extended over time to previously exempt groups (e.g, lone parents with children over the age of 3 , the majority of disabled people in receipt of ESA). The NAO notes correctly (1.13) that policy-makers’ assumptions about conditionality and its effects remain largely untested. Our own research seeks to answer detailed questions about how the systems work in practice, which groups are affected, why and how.
2.3 International evidence on conditionality is summarised in the NAO report (Figure 21). Evidence reviewed in the first phase of our own study is broadly in line with this. It indicates broadly that benefit sanctions (especially severe sanctions) substantially raise exits from benefits, and may also increase short-term job entry; but the longer-term outcomes for earnings, job quality and employment retention appear unfavourable. In particular, concerns remain about the destinations of those who exit benefits, and whether increasing numbers are becoming ‘disconnected’ from both work and welfare.
There are also concerns about unintended (and less intended) consequences of conditionality, particularly the hardship faced by those excluded from benefits, services and/or support as a result of failing to meet behavioural requirements. Our own research is producing evidence on this issue (see below).
2.4 Our qualitative research project is the largest of its kind in the UK. It involves interviews with 52 policy stakeholders, 27 focus groups conducted with practitioners and three repeat qualitative longitudinal interviews (n.481 people at wave 1 interview) with nine groups of welfare service users (WSUs) in England and Scotland. Our ‘first wave’ findings, published in 2016, include extensive evidence on the negative effects of conditionality and sanctions:
2.5 The NAO report draws attention to a series of issues over variable implementation of sanctions (2.6-2.12). Our study found that:
2.6 The DWP ‘expects the possibility of sanctions to encourage people to comply more with conditions, and lead to faster entry into employment for those able to work’, the NAO finds (3.1).
To date, our study has found little evidence of conditionality and especially the application of sanctions bringing about the positive effects government intends:
2.7 In fact, our research has uncovered a range of counterproductive effects of sanctions or the threat of sanctions.
2.8 The government’s approach to in-work Universal Credit recipients is particularly criticised by participants in our research. Recipients think they should not be subject to similar sanctions to unemployed people, particularly in relation to missing appointments due to work commitments. Our evidence suggests a mismatch between the design of conditionality and its application to in-work claimants of UC. The job search requirements on them currently do not fit their lived experience, as they already provide evidence of their willingness to work by being in paid employment. A further mismatch exists with the fluctuating expectations of employers and changing workforce norms (including zero hours contracts that make exact working hours and times unpredictable) and the inflexible requirements of conditionality.
2.9 Vulnerabilities of the kinds found in our study have brought into question key premises upon which conditional welfare interventions are based. Advocates of welfare conditionality, including government, assume that people are able to make decisions and respond to both sanctions and support in rational and future-orientated ways. But many of our respondents had a very limited comprehension of the sanction, support or behavioural requirements placed on them. Some WSUs reported that they did not know the reason why they had been sanctioned. In such cases the rationale underpinning welfare conditionality, that its application will bring about positive behaviour change, is fundamentally undermined.
2.10 The NAO report notes that the DWP has rejected calls for a wider independent review of sanctions (3.7). It also refers to the DWP’s lack of engagement with the focus groups in our own research project (3.8). We are continuing to try to engage with these important stakeholders as our project moves forward.
3 Our recommendations
3.1 We recommend:
3.2 We recommend that action should be taken in parallel to ease the negative effects of sanctions, improve support, and improve implementation. We recommend:
For more detailed analysis of the issues raised in this submission please refer to our first wave findings documents available at http://www.welfareconditionality.ac.uk/publications/first-wave-research-findings/
Peter Dwyer, Sharon Wright, Alasdair BR Stewart and Janis Bright
6 November 2016
[i] Abbring, J. H., Berg, G. J., & Ours, J. C. (2005). The effect of unemployment insurance sanctions on the transition rate from unemployment to employment. Economic Journal, 115(505), 602-630.
[ii] Crisp, R., & Fletcher, D.R. (2008). A comparative review of workfare programmes in the United States, Canada and Australia. DWP Research Report No.533. London: DWP
[iii] McVicar, D. (2010). Does job search monitoring intensity affect unemployment? Evidence from Northern Ireland. Economica, 77, 296-313.