Food and Drink Federation – Supplementary Written Evidence (TIG0016)

Following FDF’s appearance at the committee session, FDF committed to providing the supplementary written evidence on the data we cited and a number of proposals we pressed for the UK and EU to come to an agreement on to facilitate trade:

  1. Trade data and FDF member surveys

We highlighted the impact the TCA has had to trade in food and drink using data collect. These can be found below.

We also share a number of surveys we have collected since the beginning of the year to accompany this document. These include a survey on the impact of the TCA and a survey on the Northern Ireland Protocol.

a)    Exports of food and drink to the EU

United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) Export Statistics to EU27

Value: Year To Date through August 2021 (January 2021 to August 2021)

Rank

Trade Partner

United Kingdom Pounds

 

2018

2021

Percent change 21/18

 

EU27

8,767,575,883

6,864,517,892

-22%

1

Austria

55,393,508

34,938,106

-37%

2

Belgium

444,386,411

382,245,897

-14%

3

Bulgaria

31,881,592

27,125,941

-15%

4

Croatia

16,679,539

8,877,810

-47%

5

Cyprus

50,782,024

33,740,572

-34%

6

Czech Republic

88,330,926

59,010,690

-33%

7

Denmark

215,025,344

144,184,452

-33%

8

Estonia

14,928,953

12,860,789

-14%

9

Finland

56,915,566

38,305,989

-33%

10

France

1,387,047,763

1,398,921,524

1%

11

Germany

903,263,268

516,496,763

-43%

12

Greece

77,676,032

52,568,169

-32%

13

Hungary

27,667,186

31,506,518

14%

14

Ireland

2,623,553,958

1,909,219,287

-27%

15

Italy

365,095,007

207,959,245

-43%

16

Latvia

108,762,319

120,585,732

11%

17

Lithuania

19,599,134

36,494,898

86%

18

Luxembourg

5,444,749

3,254,353

-40%

19

Malta

41,833,998

29,379,399

-30%

20

Netherlands

1,034,780,219

972,922,708

-6%

21

Poland

241,431,231

252,019,264

4%

22

Portugal

94,982,646

62,763,854

-34%

23

Romania

41,598,639

47,350,646

14%

24

Slovakia

13,988,719

8,650,306

-38%

25

Slovenia

12,489,196

9,622,462

-23%

26

Spain

610,585,478

301,851,470

-51%

27

Sweden

183,452,478

161,661,048

-12%

 

 

b)    Imports of food and drink to the UK

United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) Import Statistics from EU27

Value: Year To Date through August 2021 (January 2021 to August 2021)

Rank

Trade Partner

United Kingdom Pounds

 

2018

2021

Percentage change 21/18

 

EU27

20,065,203,848

18,387,972,273

-8%

1

Austria

154,570,753

186,561,235

21%

2

Belgium

1,498,698,034

1,601,489,719

7%

3

Bulgaria

43,881,360

40,453,420

-8%

4

Croatia

5,006,976

9,518,878

90%

5

Cyprus

62,414,061

76,339,047

22%

6

Czech Republic

86,586,092

92,168,658

6%

7

Denmark

898,286,250

677,569,653

-25%

8

Estonia

6,272,373

27,235,424

334%

9

Finland

16,721,112

10,835,848

-35%

10

France

2,705,233,676

2,611,151,922

-3%

11

Germany

2,660,063,851

1,927,871,569

-28%

12

Greece

197,747,211

195,298,599

-1%

13

Hungary

104,250,183

126,490,257

21%

14

Ireland

2,820,294,836

2,218,031,830

-21%

15

Italy

1,653,003,722

1,807,532,500

9%

16

Latvia

28,929,016

56,318,059

95%

17

Lithuania

80,712,803

141,327,674

75%

18

Luxembourg

3,355,681

853,074

-75%

19

Malta

2,310,761

3,118,323

35%

20

Netherlands

3,315,099,872

2,717,319,228

-18%

21

Poland

1,058,622,287

1,258,453,993

19%

22

Portugal

146,869,529

187,121,889

27%

23

Romania

87,334,802

58,423,435

-33%

24

Slovakia

36,219,273

28,661,194

-21%

25

Slovenia

15,437,994

18,502,560

20%

26

Spain

2,104,990,196

2,070,498,414

-2%

27

Sweden

272,291,144

238,825,871

-12%

 

 

 

 

 

 

c)     Exports of food and drink product categories to the EU

United Kingdom HMRC (Incl N Ireland) Export Statistics to EU27

 

Value: Year To Date through August 2021 (January 2021 to August 2021)

 

Product

United Kingdom Pounds

2018/21 percentage change

2018

2021

Fruits

108,874,552

54,908,474

-50%

Beef

304,506,429

209,737,250

-31%

Savoury snacks

177,776,282

181,255,735

2%

Butter

172,925,004

97,322,021

-44%

Cheese

328,134,211

242,933,770

-26%

Condensed milk

3,026,256

16,333,598

440%

Pet food

206,066,044

146,876,991

-29%

Eggs

35,741,045

28,191,071

-21%

Fish

200,877,396

149,064,662

-26%

Gin

190,640,331

139,707,715

-27%

Ice cream

86,090,851

74,413,497

-14%

Juices

54,010,879

23,812,509

-56%

Vegetables

93,946,397

59,526,124

-37%

Milk and cream

219,040,062

177,069,199

-19%

Milk and cream

69,479,614

48,916,825

-30%

Miscellaneous products

449,755,846

399,302,674

-11%

Sugar

64,685,547

5,073,219

-92%

Oilseeds

59,328,251

25,405,556

-57%

Spirits

131,147,628

126,268,306

-4%

Poultry

5,652,857

1,329,902

-76%

Rice

31,073,983

19,077,459

-39%

Salmon

201,703,727

304,467,085

51%

Sausages

9,745,489

8,005,304

-18%

Spices

23,861,637

24,790,412

4%

Pork

180,622,867

115,320,684

-36%

Beer

138,148,128

133,214,933

-4%

Breakfast cereals

218,278,151

179,212,672

-18%

Chocolate

331,034,494

300,239,323

-9%

Cider

20,260,853

13,194,631

-35%

Cocoa

52,958,023

38,472,290

-27%

Coffee

108,421,180

97,056,727

-10%

Animal feed

335,816,358

212,821,511

-37%

Honey

12,524,576

4,420,321

-65%

Infant food

9,458,980

10,448,302

10%

Jams and spreads

74,030,501

57,805,015

-22%

Lamb and mutton

227,080,663

250,060,693

10%

Waters

18,807,435

12,961,803

-31%

Nuts

37,645,131

15,543,287

-59%

Tinned vegetables

38,599,675

34,515,863

-11%

Crisps

61,748,376

32,615,161

-47%

Sauces and condiments

183,951,228

169,004,602

-8%

Confectionery

94,188,476

64,792,804

-31%

Sweet biscuits

152,257,050

103,220,895

-32%

Vodka

12,364,221

5,969,661

-52%

Whisky

872,543,189

831,665,130

-5%

Wine

164,678,515

76,000,801

-54%

Yogurt

27,670,169

12,400,511

-55%

Tea

37,666,049

30,559,188

-19%

Tinned tomatoes

4,181,041

2,054,337

-51%

Vegetable oils

191,954,191

124,659,063

-35%

Soft drinks

224,529,121

201,560,489

-10%

Chicken

197,500,216

120,400,984

-39%

Fish fillets

87,475,838

36,149,967

-59%

Animal fats and oils

1,334,742

1,669,446

25%

Bread

68,509,811

62,177,063

-9%

Potatoes

75,343,203

46,630,705

-38%

Oats

19,791,663

17,663,215

-11%

Smoked fish

2,241,863

1,119,054

-50%

Soups

28,532,753

9,096,308

-68%

Turkey

18,899,060

4,838,237

-74%

Animal and vegetable oils - mixed

43,432,603

74,012,624

70%

Vegetable flours

8,865,259

9,713,201

10%

Ingredients

95,296,793

64,952,500

-32%

Sugars and syrups

20,398,747

22,268,959

9%

Edible animal products

406,138

100,263

-75%

 

  1. Negotiated steps the UK should take:

At the committee I mentioned two areas we would suggest the Government should pursue an agreement with the EU:

a)    SPS agreement

Firstly, we believe an agreement in sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) equivalence area would be beneficial. Whilst much of the benefits mentioned by commentators focus on the reduction of physical checks, it would also simplify the Export Health Certificates (EHCs) and process of getting them signed by the relevant officials. For example, the agreement between the EU and New Zealand provides for simpler certification, and allows the official to sign the consignment on the basis that it meets the exporters own legislation, rather than the importers legislation. This is due to the agreement deeming each parties SPS rules as equivalent to the others:

An example of the EHC to send a product of animal origin from New Zealand to UK/EU - https://www.legislation.gov.uk/eudn/2015/1901/annex/I

Current EHC that is required for diary products to be sent form the UK to the EU - https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5f68974b8fa8f51064e88acf/Specimen-8287_Milk-RMP.pdf

b)    Sweden/Norway Customs border

Secondly, a welcome step the Government could take to negotiate with the EU, or relevant member states, would be to pilot or replicate at roll-on roll-off crossings the customs model that applies across the Norway and Sweden border. This allows for a single customs office, that reduces the customs requirement and declarations into a single submission of a customs declaration (rather than both an export and import declaration, as well as entry and exit summary declarations) and that is policed by both the Norway and Swedish customs officials, and both sides are able share data and assess the risk more effectively.

This would greatly reduce the customs documentation required, and reduce the data duplication that currently exists on the import and export declaration.


FDF Trade Survey: Northern Ireland Protocol

FDF carried out a survey between 4 October and 19 October to gauge impacts of the Northern Ireland Protocol. We received 83 responses from businesses representing all sub-sectors of our industry.

Trade with Northern Ireland

We asked about how volumes of goods companies in Great Britain (GB) send to Northern Ireland (NI) has changed since 1 January 2021.

Some businesses have maintained previous flows of goods since 1 January, however on average businesses reported a significant decrease in their sales from GB into NI. Small businesses have faced the largest drop in sales, while large businesses that would make up the majority of the volume of products sold into NI have seen a drop in trade of 10%.

GB to NI sales volume change since the end of the transition period

Average change

Micro and small businesses

-23%

All businesses

-13%

Large businesses

-10%

Medium sized business

-6%

If the current grace periods for GB-NI trade end and goods face the EU’s full import requirements, a large share of businesses would stop supplying NI, either permanently or temporarily while they assess if it remains a viable market. Nearly half would have to raise prices, while more than a third would reduce the number of product lines they sell into NI.

How will your business respond if grace periods end… (select all that apply)

We will continue supplying into NI

46%

Increase prices for customer in NI to continue supplying

44%

Reduce the number of product lines in NI

39%

Pause deliveries while we assess if it remains viable

33%

Stop supplying into NI

15%

Stockpile product in NI ahead of implementation

7%

Move production away from GB

7%

Don’t know

6%

Reduce shelf life for products going to NI

4%

We asked if these changes were likely to be permanent or temporary. Nearly half indicated that this would be a permanent change, while a further third don’t know at this stage.

Is this change like to be temporary or permanent?

Permanent

48%

Don’t know

32%

Temporary while adjusting to new requirements

9%

Temporary due to both of the above

7%

Temporary due to previous stockpiling

4%

We asked businesses to estimate how their sales into NI would be impacted if the grace periods end and full EU customs and SPS requirements are applied to goods moving from GB into NI. On average, the volume sold would fall by a third.

Volume change if grace periods end

...sales from GB to NI

-34%

Which product categories would be most negatively impacted?

  1. Raw materials and ingredients
  2. Composite products
  3. Fish
  4. Organics
  5. Meat products

Trade with the Republic of Ireland

Food and drink supply chains are deeply integrated between NI and GB. Lessons that have been learned since the start of the year as businesses adapt to the new trading relationship with the EU cannot simply be applied to GB-NI trade if faced with full EU import controls.

However, given similar consumer preferences and levels of integration, we can look to impacts on trade between GB and the Republic of Ireland, where businesses report sales having dropped by more than a fifth.

How has the volume of your exports changed since the end of the transition period?

...sales from GB to ROI

-22%

Having traded with ROI since 1 January 2021 under full EU customs and SPS rules, nearly a fifth of businesses are now more confident that they would be able to adapt and supply NI if the grace periods end. However, more than a third are now less confident.

Has your experience of supplying into ROI made you more or less confident that you can supply NI if the grace periods end?

The three biggest challenges food and drink businesses have faced trading with ROI:

  1. Customs processes
  2. Customer readiness
  3. SPS processes


FDF Trade Survey: February 2021

FDF carried out a survey between 19 February and 1 March to gauge impacts on the UK’s trade in food and drink since the end of the transition period on 1 January 2021. We received 74 responses from businesses representing all sub-sectors of our industry.

The five biggest challenges identified by food and drink businesses when trading with the EU are:

  1. Adapting to new customs processes
  2. Rules of origin and tariffs
  3. Inconsistency at EU borders
  4. Documentary/ID checks at borders
  5.                     Customer readiness

While some businesses have been able to maintain previous flows of goods since 1 January, on average businesses reported that they have seen a significant decrease in the volumes of goods they are moving to the EU, Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland.

Volume change since the end of the transition period to...

Average change

...exports from the UK to the EU

-44%

...exports from the UK to ROI

-41%

...sales from GB to NI

-30%

We asked whether the impacts outlined above are likely to be temporary or permanent. In each case, around 45% of businesses believe these impacts to be temporary, whereas for between 20%-31% these impacts are permanent. Around a third do not know whether this lost trade with the EU, Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland will recover.

Is this change like to be temporary or permanent

UK-EU

UK-ROI

GB-NI

Temporary due to previous stockpiling

3.8%

4.8%

2.2%

Temporary while adjusting to new requirements

24.5%

23.8%

17.4%

Temporary due to both of the above

17.0%

16.7%

23.9%

Permanent

20.8%

31.0%

23.9%

Don’t know

34.0%

23.8%

32.6%

 

The use of groupage distribution typically by smaller businesses moving food and drink to the EU where their goods are combined in lorries/containers with cargo from other businesses presents continued difficulties.

More than two thirds of businesses face consistent delays and problems delivering to the EU and around 10% say most of their shipments are not reaching EU customers. Without practical solutions to the implementation of the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA), we believe small businesses in the EU will face these same difficulties supplying into the UK when the UK’s Border Operating Model is fully operational in July.

What has been your experience of moving goods to the EU using groupage since the end of the transition period? (Responses only from those using groupage)

We are facing consistent delays and problems delivering to the EU

69.7%

We have faced problems but the situation is improving

18.2%

The majority of our shipments are failing to reach the EU

9.1%

It is working well for movements to the EU

3.0%

The experience of supplying food and drink into the Republic of Ireland has made nearly two thirds of businesses less confident that they will be able to continue supplying goods into Northern Ireland when existing grace periods end in April. Only 2% are more confident.

Has your experience of supplying into ROI made you more or less confident that you can supply into Northern Ireland when the grace periods end in April?

If these grace periods end in April and goods moving from Great Britain into Northern Ireland face the EU’s full import requirements, nearly half of businesses indicate they would pause or stop delivering directly into Northern Ireland.

If the grace periods for selling into NI end and trade reverts to full EU requirements in April, how will you respond?

We will continue supplying into NI

42.9%

We will pause deliveries while we assess if it remains viable

26.5%

We will stop supplying into NI other than via GB retailer hubs

8.2%

We will pause deliveries to re-engineer supply chains

8.2%

Don't know

8.2%

We will stop supplying into NI

6.1%

 


Looking ahead to the changes that will apply after the second and third phases of the UK’s Border Operating Model are implemented in April and July 2021, businesses are most confident in their own preparations and those of their customs agents. However, a majority are not confident in the preparedness of:

How confident are you that the below will be fully prepared for changes to the UK's Border Operating Model in April and July that will apply to imports from the EU?

 

Very

confident

Somewhat

confident

Neither confident

nor unconfident

Somewhat unconfident

Very

unconfident

Your business (incl. IT systems)

18.3%

31.7%

25.0%

21.7%

3.3%

UK Government IT systems

1.7%

13.3%

26.7%

33.3%

25.0%

Your EU suppliers

6.8%

20.3%

22.0%

35.6%

15.3%

EU Member States (incl. veterinarians)

3.6%

9.1%

20.0%

47.3%

20.0%

Your customs agents

8.8%

43.9%

24.6%

15.8%

7.0%

Groupage from the EU

2.3%

11.4%

20.5%

34.1%

31.8%

UK port infrastructure (e.g. Border Control Posts)

1.7%

10.3%

22.4%

36.2%

29.3%

UK port authorities (e.g. Port Health Authorities)

0.0%

12.1%

25.9%

31.0%

31.0%