Written Evidence from Election Maps UK (DTA50)

 

Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee

Data Transparency and Accountability: Covid 19 inquiry

 

Background

Election Maps UK is politically impartial psephology website and twitter feed. Our primary focus is analysing and mapping political polling and election results, but during the Covid 19 pandemic we have also looked at the data on infection rates and tiering decisions.

This submission contains data on infection rates linked to tiering decisions for the 26th November and 19th December tiers.

Sources:

[1] HM Government, Coronavirus dashboard, download data, accessed on 2 March 2021.

[2] HM Government, Guidance, Full list of local restriction tiers by area, accessed through the Wayback Machine calendar entry for 26th November 2019 and 19th December 2020.

Data

Local Authority

Code

7-Day Rate 26th Nov (Cases from 15th-21st)

26th Nov Tier

7-Day Rate 19h Dec (Cases from 8th-14th)

19th Dec Tier

Hartlepool

E06000001

387.6

3

219.9

3

Middlesbrough

E06000002

327.7

3

212.8

3

Redcar and Cleveland

E06000003

350

3

139.3

3

Stockton-on-Tees

E06000004

347.6

3

178.4

3

Darlington

E06000005

308

3

170.4

3

Halton

E06000006

200.9

2

127.5

2

Warrington

E06000007

195.2

2

178.6

2

Blackburn with Darwen

E06000008

342.00

3

255.9

3

Blackpool

E06000009

210.1

3

167.1

3

Kingston upon Hull, City of

E06000010

490.8

3

206.3

3

East Riding of Yorkshire

E06000011

287.2

3

155.3

3

North East Lincolnshire

E06000012

394.8

3

117.2

3

North Lincolnshire

E06000013

371.5

3

184

3

York

E06000014

132.5

2

69.8

2

Derby

E06000015

268.9

3

213

3

Leicester

E06000016

400

3

265.7

3

Rutland

E06000017

105.2

2

127.7

2

Nottingham

E06000018

204.9

3

177.8

3

Herefordshire, County of

E06000019

124

2

60.2

1

Telford and Wrekin

E06000020

255.8

2

149

2

Stoke-on-Trent

E06000021

434.5

3

330.8

3

Bath and North East Somerset

E06000022

156.8

2

92.1

2

Bristol, City of

E06000023

325

3

138.5

2

North Somerset

E06000024

210.6

3

134.9

2

South Gloucestershire

E06000025

232.2

3

172.6

3

Plymouth

E06000026

130.1

2

71.7

2

Torbay

E06000027

126.2

2

41.8

2

Swindon

E06000030

143.6

2

142.7

2

Peterborough

E06000031

208.1

3

322.4

4

Luton

E06000032

285.4

2

361.9

4

Southend-on-Sea

E06000033

125.1

2

506.8

4

Thurrock

E06000034

222

2

839.2

4

Medway

E06000035

430.4

3

833.2

4

Bracknell Forest

E06000036

67.7

2

297.8

4

West Berkshire

E06000037

89

2

218.4

4

Reading

E06000038

145.3

2

288.7

4

Slough

E06000039

313.6

3

431.3

4

Windsor and Maidenhead

E06000040

137.4

2

188.9

4

Wokingham

E06000041

109.3

2

246.6

4

Milton Keynes

E06000042

173.3

2

400.4

4

Brighton and Hove

E06000043

81.1

2

140.6

2

Portsmouth

E06000044

198.2

2

236.4

4

Southampton

E06000045

128.7

2

113.3

2

Isle of Wight

E06000046

60

1

28.2

1

County Durham

E06000047

281.5

3

159.8

3

Cheshire East

E06000049

165.3

2

129.1

2

Cheshire West and Chester

E06000050

185.1

2

160

2

Shropshire

E06000051

156

2

101.8

2

Cornwall and Isles of Scilly

E06000052

59.1

1

43.9

1

Wiltshire

E06000054

121

2

88.2

2

Bedford

E06000055

134.5

2

294.3

4

Central Bedfordshire

E06000056

84.5

2

292.4

4

Northumberland

E06000057

241.3

3

178.6

3

Bournemouth, Christchurch and Poole

E06000058

148.7

2

98.9

2

Dorset

E06000059

69.5

2

59.4

2

Aylesbury Vale

E07000004

129.4

2

286.9

4

Chiltern

E07000005

76

2

209.3

4

South Bucks

E07000006

159

2

278.3

4

Wycombe

E07000007

137.7

2

268.6

4

Cambridge

E07000008

125

2

133.8

2

East Cambridgeshire

E07000009

84.6

2

122.4

2

Fenland

E07000010

119.8

2

163

2

Huntingdonshire

E07000011

64.6

2

108.4

2

South Cambridgeshire

E07000012

68.5

2

150.2

2

Allerdale

E07000026

99.2

2

76.7

2

Barrow-in-Furness

E07000027

114.8

2

110.4

2

Carlisle

E07000028

262.2

2

138.9

2

Copeland

E07000029

99.7

2

20.5

2

Eden

E07000030

93.9

2

146.5

2

South Lakeland

E07000031

227.4

2

169.4

2

Amber Valley

E07000032

274.7

3

206

3

Bolsover

E07000033

301.6

3

234.6

3

Chesterfield

E07000034

178.3

3

136.3

3

Derbyshire Dales

E07000035

163.2

3

66.4

3

Erewash

E07000036

224.5

3

137.8

3

High Peak

E07000037

182.4

3

136

3

North East Derbyshire

E07000038

236.5

3

150.8

3

South Derbyshire

E07000039

280.6

3

265.7

3

East Devon

E07000040

126.5

2

149.7

2

Exeter

E07000041

132.4

2

95.9

2

Mid Devon

E07000042

97.2

2

100.8

2

North Devon

E07000043

115.3

2

162.6

2

South Hams

E07000044

56.3

2

52.9

2

Teignbridge

E07000045

60.4

2

70.8

2

Torridge

E07000046

71.8

2

82

2

West Devon

E07000047

84.2

2

114.7

2

Eastbourne

E07000061

134.9

2

188

2

Hastings

E07000062

107.9

3

681

4

Lewes

E07000063

94.9

2

155.9

2

Rother

E07000064

156.1

3

469.4

4

Wealden

E07000065

161.6

2

216.8

2

Basildon

E07000066

276.2

2

867.5

4

Braintree

E07000067

115.3

2

463.9

4

Brentwood

E07000068

222

2

688.1

4

Castle Point

E07000069

197

2

573.2

4

Chelmsford

E07000070

115.5

2

432.8

4

Colchester

E07000071

67.3

2

157.2

2

Epping Forest

E07000072

221

2

724.4

4

Harlow

E07000073

198.7

2

397.4

4

Maldon

E07000074

66.2

2

303.4

4

Rochford

E07000075

139.6

2

635.2

4

Tendring

E07000076

63.5

2

140.6

2

Uttlesford

E07000077

103

2

226.8

2

Cheltenham

E07000078

128.1

2

83.4

2

Cotswold

E07000079

64.5

2

103.5

2

Forest of Dean

E07000080

132.5

2

233.9

2

Gloucester

E07000081

214.5

2

219.9

2

Stroud

E07000082

140.9

2

130.9

2

Tewkesbury

E07000083

143.1

2

104.2

2

Basingstoke and Deane

E07000084

116.7

2

122.9

2

East Hampshire

E07000085

121

2

109.6

2

Eastleigh

E07000086

88.3

2

67.4

2

Fareham

E07000087

126.5

2

124.7

2

Gosport

E07000088

142.6

2

143.8

4

Hart

E07000089

76.2

2

153.5

2

Havant

E07000090

206

2

267.8

4

New Forest

E07000091

77.7

2

73.9

2

Rushmoor

E07000092

99.4

2

285.4

2

Test Valley

E07000093

85.6

2

85.6

2

Winchester

E07000094

126.5

2

101.7

2

Broxbourne

E07000095

208.7

2

653.8

4

Dacorum

E07000096

124.1

2

233.9

4

Hertsmere

E07000098

138.2

2

370.8

4

North Hertfordshire

E07000099

99.6

2

175.2

4

Three Rivers

E07000102

142.5

2

291.5

4

Watford

E07000103

170.8

2

377.9

4

Ashford

E07000105

126.9

3

731.4

4

Canterbury

E07000106

235.8

3

614.3

4

Dartford

E07000107

269.1

3

548.8

4

Dover

E07000108

278.5

3

673.8

4

Gravesham

E07000109

390.9

3

578.8

4

Maidstone

E07000110

273

3

665.2

4

Sevenoaks

E07000111

159.8

3

328.8

4

Folkestone and Hythe

E07000112

182.3

3

560.2

4

Swale

E07000113

535.7

3

777.6

4

Thanet

E07000114

493.9

3

536.9

4

Tonbridge and Malling

E07000115

208.1

3

558.4

4

Tunbridge Wells

E07000116

117.9

3

339.4

4

Burnley

E07000117

362.1

3

341.9

3

Chorley

E07000118

210.6

3

193.7

3

Fylde

E07000119

226.5

3

120.1

3

Hyndburn

E07000120

433.1

3

236.9

3

Lancaster

E07000121

97.2

3

163.7

3

Pendle

E07000122

305.1

3

269.2

3

Preston

E07000123

267.6

3

222.9

3

Ribble Valley

E07000124

200.4

3

244.7

3

Rossendale

E07000125

313.4

3

229.4

3

South Ribble

E07000126

211.2

3

167.9

3

West Lancashire

E07000127

180.2

3

189.8

3

Wyre

E07000128

152.6

3

144.5

3

Blaby

E07000129

342.8

3

215.7

3

Charnwood

E07000130

238.4

3

157.7

3

Harborough

E07000131

284.6

3

130.1

3

Hinckley and Bosworth

E07000132

242.20

3

157.3

3

Melton

E07000133

269.5

3

207

3

North West Leicestershire

E07000134

287.6

3

137.1

3

Oadby and Wigston

E07000135

422.7

3

240.3

3

Boston

E07000136

430.4

3

444.6

3

East Lindsey

E07000137

443.8

3

168.6

3

Lincoln

E07000138

331.3

3

390.7

3

North Kesteven

E07000139

221.5

3

206.1

3

South Holland

E07000140

152.6

3

188.4

3

South Kesteven

E07000141

188.9

3

208.5

3

West Lindsey

E07000142

216.4

3

330.3

3

Breckland

E07000143

77.2

2

129.3

2

Broadland

E07000144

87.20

2

174.3

2

Great Yarmouth

E07000145

106.7

2

187.2

2

King's Lynn and West Norfolk

E07000146

130.1

2

175.7

2

North Norfolk

E07000147

90.6

2

88.7

2

Norwich

E07000148

136.6

2

146.5

2

South Norfolk

E07000149

143.4

2

112.2

2

Corby

E07000150

163.4

2

113.5

2

Daventry

E07000151

116.3

2

124.5

2

East Northamptonshire

E07000152

128

2

155.5

2

Kettering

E07000153

156.2

2

144.4

2

Northampton

E07000154

218.2

2

253.8

2

South Northamptonshire

E07000155

214.8

2

170.4

2

Wellingborough

E07000156

158.1

2

218.3

2

Craven

E07000163

190.80

2

119

2

Hambleton

E07000164

159.4

2

61.1

2

Harrogate

E07000165

159.20

2

92.6

2

Richmondshire

E07000166

165.6

2

111.7

2

Ryedale

E07000167

133.6

2

63.2

2

Scarborough

E07000168

294.2

2

219.8

2

Selby

E07000169

242.8

2

131.3

2

Ashfield

E07000170

257.2

3

195.4

3

Bassetlaw

E07000171

309.9

3

261.4

3

Broxtowe

E07000172

165.7

3

136.8

3

Gedling

E07000173

201

3

235

3

Mansfield

E07000174

281.8

3

228.7

3

Newark and Sherwood

E07000175

196

3

207.5

3

Rushcliffe

E07000176

183.7

3

127.5

3

Cherwell

E07000177

97.7

2

201.3

2

Oxford

E07000178

135.1

2

239.4

2

South Oxfordshire

E07000179

90.8

2

133

2

Vale of White Horse

E07000180

73.5

2

133.1

2

West Oxfordshire

E07000181

78.60

2

104.8

2

Mendip

E07000187

115.9

2

136.7

2

Sedgemoor

E07000188

135.6

2

144.5

2

South Somerset

E07000189

117

2

140.2

2

Cannock Chase

E07000192

258

3

232.2

3

East Staffordshire

E07000193

383.3

3

326.5

3

Lichfield

E07000194

316

3

175.6

3

Newcastle-under-Lyme

E07000195

406.4

3

205.5

3

South Staffordshire

E07000196

322.9

3

182.3

3

Stafford

E07000197

332.2

3

248.4

3

Staffordshire Moorlands

E07000198

274.3

3

247.9

3

Tamworth

E07000199

349.4

3

136.9

3

Babergh

E07000200

131.5

2

148.9

2

Ipswich

E07000202

153.4

2

217.7

2

Mid Suffolk

E07000203

58.7

2

123.2

2

Elmbridge

E07000207

115.5

2

224.4

4

Epsom and Ewell

E07000208

167.4

2

287.7

4

Guildford

E07000209

120.1

2

212.8

4

Mole Valley

E07000210

96.3

2

204

4

Reigate and Banstead

E07000211

110.3

2

242

4

Runnymede

E07000212

206.9

2

255

4

Spelthorne

E07000213

195.3

2

275.4

4

Surrey Heath

E07000214

147.8

2

324.7

4

Tandridge

E07000215

128.2

2

315.4

4

Waverley

E07000216

93.4

2

171.8

2

Woking

E07000217

146.8

2

327.4

4

North Warwickshire

E07000218

297.3

3

157.8

3

Nuneaton and Bedworth

E07000219

320.3

3

175.5

3

Rugby

E07000220

215.7

3

219.4

3

Stratford-on-Avon

E07000221

105.3

3

117.6

3

Warwick

E07000222

188.5

3

206.6

3

Adur

E07000223

76.2

2

127.5

2

Arun

E07000224

94.6

2

158.6

2

Chichester

E07000225

102.4

2

89.2

2

Crawley

E07000226

86.3

2

177.9

2

Horsham

E07000227

98.1

2

93.9

2

Mid Sussex

E07000228

149

2

186.7

2

Worthing

E07000229

67.80

2

84.1

2

Bromsgrove

E07000234

204.2

2

236.3

2

Malvern Hills

E07000235

90.2

2

69.9

2

Redditch

E07000236

254.5

2

137.2

2

Worcester

E07000237

165

2

73.1

2

Wychavon

E07000238

124.4

2

146

2

Wyre Forest

E07000239

240.9

2

139.2

2

St Albans

E07000240

113.8

2

220.9

4

Welwyn Hatfield

E07000241

132.5

2

195.9

4

East Hertfordshire

E07000242

142.2

2

242.4

4

Stevenage

E07000243

117.3

2

207.2

4

East Suffolk

E07000244

71

2

112.2

2

West Suffolk

E07000245

64.2

2

108.9

2

Somerset West and Taunton

E07000246

81.9

2

133.4

2

Bolton

E08000001

305.3

3

157.5

3

Bury

E08000002

314.2

3

194.3

3

Manchester

E08000003

250

3

176.7

3

Oldham

E08000004

388.8

3

189.8

3

Rochdale

E08000005

361.9

3

214.9

3

Salford

E08000006

260

3

156.5

3

Stockport

E08000007

208.6

3

106

3

Tameside

E08000008

250.3

3

94

3

Trafford

E08000009

170.6

3

123

3

Wigan

E08000010

304.3

3

172.2

3

Knowsley

E08000011

157.8

2

110.7

2

Liverpool

E08000012

157.8

2

103.4

2

St. Helens

E08000013

185.5

2

125.7

2

Sefton

E08000014

153

2

80.3

2

Wirral

E08000015

125.6

2

87.7

2

Barnsley

E08000016

272.6

3

168.9

3

Doncaster

E08000017

244

3

212.3

3

Rotherham

E08000018

247.9

3

249.8

3

Sheffield

E08000019

233.7

3

153.5

3

Newcastle upon Tyne

E08000021

321

3

160.2

3

North Tyneside

E08000022

287.6

3

126.5

3

South Tyneside

E08000023

347.7

3

312.6

3

Sunderland

E08000024

286.3

3

152

3

Birmingham

E08000025

343.1

3

225.9

3

Coventry

E08000026

199.7

3

187.6

3

Dudley

E08000027

425.4

3

210.5

3

Sandwell

E08000028

420.5

3

221.6

3

Solihull

E08000029

255.6

3

171.9

3

Walsall

E08000030

333.8

3

203.5

3

Wolverhampton

E08000031

352

3

287.8

3

Bradford

E08000032

379.40

3

180.8

3

Calderdale

E08000033

333.4

3

156.5

3

Kirklees

E08000034

401.1

3

168

3

Leeds

E08000035

273.5

3

142.1

3

Wakefield

E08000036

341.4

3

156.2

3

Gateshead

E08000037

290.5

3

105.9

3

Barking and Dagenham

E09000002

264.4

2

673.5

4

Barnet

E09000003

158.9

2

317

4

Bexley

E09000004

235.6

2

563.9

4

Brent

E09000005

201.4

2

306.9

4

Bromley

E09000006

142.6

2

427.3

4

Camden

E09000007

89.2

2

237.4

4

Croydon

E09000008

160.6

2

386.9

4

Ealing

E09000009

205.1

2

287

4

Enfield

E09000010

216.6

2

577.9

4

Greenwich

E09000011

189.3

2

387.2

4

Hackney and City of London

E09000012

154

2

405.4

4

Hammersmith and Fulham

E09000013

159.3

2

283.6

4

Haringey

E09000014

135.5

2

404.6

4

Harrow

E09000015

176.8

2

421.6

4

Havering

E09000016

341.7

2

848.4

4

Hillingdon

E09000017

195.5

2

338.6

4

Hounslow

E09000018

201.1

2

321.2

4

Islington

E09000019

128.3

2

316.3

4

Kensington and Chelsea

E09000020

131.3

2

238.3

4

Kingston upon Thames

E09000021

153.2

2

410.1

4

Lambeth

E09000022

139.6

2

351.8

4

Lewisham

E09000023

107.6

2

359

4

Merton

E09000024

178.2

2

396

4

Newham

E09000025

225.7

2

539.5

4

Redbridge

E09000026

302.4

2

691.6

4

Richmond upon Thames

E09000027

108.1

2

278.3

4

Southwark

E09000028

110.1

2

322.1

4

Sutton

E09000029

148.8

2

409

4

Tower Hamlets

E09000030

229.7

2

515.5

4

Waltham Forest

E09000031

214.1

2

565.4

4

Wandsworth

E09000032

112.5

2

330.9

4

Westminster

E09000033

115.2

2

210.5

4

March 2021