Written evidence from WAE Technologies Limited (BEV0035)
Executive Summary:
Introduction to WAE (Previously Williams Advanced Engineering).
Committee Questions:
a) Yes, there is enough demand for gigafactories for core / higher volume vehicle assembly, and for the smaller, high performance / luxury brands which make up a significant portion of the UK Automotive DNA. Our answer is based upon all the UK vehicles manufacturers planning to have a fully or hybrid electrified product line up as next generation vehicles are rolled out.
b) WAE assessment is:
c) At present of these higher volume vehicle manufacturers, it is only JLR that does not have significant battery manufacturing capability strategically linked.
d) Due to the significant interest to WAE & Hyperbat business case/ strategy is the lack of cell supply chain availability for the high performance / high luxury marques such as:
e) These marques do not always align technically to the same types of mass-produced battery and cell products as the 3 large producers outlined previously. They do not equate to giga scale demand per brand. WAE & Hyperbat has been created, with UK govt. support in its inception, via APC6, to deliver a flexible facility, capable of delivering battery systems to niche vehicle manufacturers; it does not currently plan to move into cell manufacturing.
f) With rules of origin considerations in place, the niche brands stand to suffer from significant financial penalties when shipping to the EU. This issue appears to have gone broadly unaddressed leaving a challenging multi-million-pound risk sitting against electrification programmes; whereas their competitors in Europe, should they fail to find appropriate technology in the EU block, will only have the concern of losing competitiveness in the UK market.
g) It is unclear. Presently, there is not enough installed UK cell producing capability to enable the commensurate vehicle development programmes, notwithstanding the lack of security of critical metals and minerals in place in support of this generates a significant roadblock for the most critical element of the system. Industry general states that cell manufacturing plants take around 5 years to be operational from initiation. Action must be taken, to maximise the UK opportunity with fit for purpose government support, and to secure appropriate raw materials and resources competitively from overseas.
h) If the UK wishes to meet its overarching goal of reducing its carbon footprint, this is necessary. Additionally, as engine production figures reduce, it will be critical to retain existing jobs.
i) For high volume vehicle producers, a certain yes, and for any other vehicle producer they would be preferred heavily to be nearby for logistical and cost reasons, localisation is a focus area.
j) Battery systems are large, high value components, the incentive of manufacturing the rest of the vehicles, and associated components would diminish significantly, due to the scale and cost of the component.
k) Nissan strategy underlines this point in the UK with their battery plant being on the same site at their vehicle assembly plant. Looking further afield there are similar comparisons to be drawn with BMW in their Munich facilities, and further afield with their announced expansion of battery assembly to support their battery assembly plant in South Carolina.
l) Simplistically, failure to establish at a macro level would mean:
m) BMW Mini recently announced the withdrawal of the next generation Electric Mini to China; it is understood from recent press that this may be reversed due to government intervention, though not confirmed.
n) The UK has not been able to attract inward investment of any significant electrification players; with companies such as Ford, who have a rich heritage in UK engine manufacturing seemingly setting up their next generation battery system assembly in mainland Europe. Both Bentley and Rolls Royce, as the next largest car makers in the UK have not announced any intent to localise pack supply.
o) It is plausible therefore that a lack of cohesive end to end supply chain readiness in the UK for cell supply, without punitive risks shipping to key markets will end in large shifts in manufacturing locations to derisk significant logistical and commercial risks.
p) Battery Systems have a wide range of uses. Given the large scale changes and need for energy independence, underlined by current energy cost escalation, Stationary Energy Storage, which could be used to store green energy.
q) Additionally, grid balancing applications to manage local bottle necks due to increased requirements of increased EV adoption is likely to become appropriate. Both points are explored in detail by the national grids “Future Energy Scenarios” paper.
r) The off highway sector is also a critical area which requires focus; with businesses such as Cummins, Caterpillar and JCB all present in the UK.
s) WAE & Hyperbat are designers and producers of battery packs, and therefore we are not focused on the extended supply chain of raw materials into Cells. Most of our information comes from engagement into cell suppliers so would defer to them.
t) WAE have relationships with several UK vehicle producers, and there are large concerns across the board due to a lack of available EU/UK capacity to service their needs.
u) There appear to be concerns also around supply chain readiness to support ROO requirements from UK and Europe based suppliers, with a lack of defined strategy to become fully compliant within the timeframe specified.
v) Currently the installed European cell manufacturing capacity is reported to be 60GWH (McKinsey), and the theoretical demand for the UK alone is 25GWH from 2025 (Faraday.ac), with the EU target being 900GWH. It seems unlikely that the UK demand will be supported locally in any meaningful quantity, and the increased requirements of 2027 will be of even greater concern.
Whilst the size of subsidies will not be comparable to economies like the US, the UK would benefit long term by providing greater incentives to OEMs with a historical UK presence to invest further in next generation EV and battery production. Short term impact of Brexit appears to have discouraged OEMs such as Ford and Stellantis from investing more in facilities in the UK, choosing instead to invest in facilities in mainland Europe.
w) The UK has a skilled workforce in the automotive industry, and some work has already been done to retrain those personnel to operate on complex high-voltage assembly. This will be an area which requires focussed investment and standardisation as the growth comes through
x) UK battery industry will face significant challenges reaching a cost competitive position if a localised supply chain cannot be properly established ahead of regulatory requirements such as ROO. If manufacturers are forced to rely on a 100% local supply chain in the UK, they will not be able to leverage the same economies of scale as EU, US, or Asia based competitors. The right balance of localised value content whilst enabling a competitive product must be achieved.
y) This applies particularly for battery cells, which only Nissan in the UK have a clear localised strategy for. Other passenger car and off-highway OEMs including JLR, Stellantis, Bentley, Mini, Cummins, and Caterpillar do not have a clearly defined strategy
z) The same economies of scale challenge impacts right across battery pack production, from commodity electronics up to pack assembly facilities & equipment.