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Use of evaluation and financial modelling in Government


Government relies on hundreds – possibly thousands – of models for a huge variety of critical activities, from forecasting spending plans to guiding operational decision making, and increasingly relies on these models as more data is available and there is an increased emphasis on evidence-driven decision-making. 

Drawing on evidence from NAO’s wider audits of models across government, the Committee will question senior officials at HM Treasury and Cabinet Office on current practices, and identify the systemic issues in government modelling which can lead to value for money risks, including:

  • whether government organisations have a clear structure of responsibility and accountability for models critical to their business;
  • whether data and assumptions used in these models go through adequate assurance processes; and
  • how uncertainty in the outputs produced by these models is taken into account, communicated and used to produce future plans

If you have evidence on these issues please submit it here by Wednesday 2 March 2022 18:00. 

This inquiry is currently accepting evidence

The committee wants to hear your views. We welcome submissions from anyone with answers to the questions in the call for evidence. You can submit evidence until Wednesday 2 March 2022.

Read the call for evidence before submitting

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  • Phone: 020 7219 3273 (General enquiries). For all media enquiries please contact Jessica Bridges Palmer / 07917488489
  • Address: Public Accounts Committee, House of Commons, London, SW1A 0AA